Glittering-Elf
0xed89c0a75bc0352efe97a2c6925ba8d6e487647b
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
166
Open notional
$34.10
Total PnL
$-9.47
Realised
$2.90
Win rate
67%
39 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 166- YES
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene announce a presidential run before 2027?
40 shares @ 7.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.80
$3.00
- YES
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
41 shares @ 7.5¢·now 9.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.74
$0.69
- YES
Tshisekedi out as President of the DRC by December 31, 2026?
40 shares @ 9.0¢·now 8.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.20
$-0.40
- YES
Will Pudgy Penguins floor price dip to 2 ETH before 2027?
11 shares @ 10.0¢·now 19.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.15
$1.02
- YES
Will 9-10 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
40 shares @ 1.1¢·now 4.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.62
$1.18
- YES
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by June 30?
30 shares @ 8.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.36
$-1.03
- YES
Anthony Albanese out as Prime Minister of Australia by June 30, 2026?
40 shares @ 3.6¢·now 3.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.20
$-0.24
- YES
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?
5 shares @ 12.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.92
$0.32
- YES
Will Allegiant announce bankruptcy by December 31?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 3.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.73
$-0.27
- NO
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-07 House seat?
10 shares @ 9.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.65
$-0.25
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.16Jun 13, 01:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill XRP dip to $0.20 by December 31, 2026?$0.86Jun 12, 17:43 UTC
- TRADESELLRamp IPO before 2027?$0.56Jun 12, 17:42 UTC
- TRADESELLRamp IPO before 2027?$0.12Jun 12, 03:59 UTC
- TRADESELLRamp IPO before 2027?$0.46Jun 11, 22:16 UTC
- TRADESELLRamp IPO before 2027?$0.06Jun 11, 21:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republican Party win the KY-04 House seat?$0.50Jun 11, 20:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Clara Tauson be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?$0.04Jun 9, 18:56 UTC
- TRADESELLSBF released from custody in 2026?$0.50Jun 8, 16:04 UTC
- TRADESELLRamp IPO before 2027?$2.64Jun 8, 11:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Connor Burbridge be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Rhode Island?$0.05Jun 8, 10:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.09Jun 7, 19:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.13Jun 7, 14:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Connor Burbridge be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Rhode Island?$0.02Jun 7, 09:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Antonio Delgado win the 2026 New York Democratic Gubernatorial Primary?$0.16Jun 6, 10:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill John Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?$0.01Jun 6, 05:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.7m barrels per day in 2026?$0.54Jun 4, 17:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.04Jun 4, 09:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brian Jaye be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10?$0.00Jun 3, 03:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brian Jaye be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10?$0.00Jun 2, 04:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 23, 13:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 01:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 39 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.