Harmonious-Mozzarella
0xeda7055cd903413bb632f3b838f98d7fede3e3d5
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$6.1K
Total PnL
$106.56
Realised
$-15.27
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?
1094 shares @ 91.4¢·now 93.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$1.0K
$22.35
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
851 shares @ 82.3¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$761.61
$61.61
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
749 shares @ 93.4¢·now 96.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$720.61
$20.61
- NO
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
833 shares @ 84.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$712.43
$12.43
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?
550 shares @ 90.9¢·now 95.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$526.45
$26.45
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?
527 shares @ 94.8¢·now 97.6¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$514.81
$14.81
- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
349 shares @ 93.2¢·now 95.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$332.50
$7.50
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
312 shares @ 96.2¢·now 96.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$301.09
$1.09
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?
307 shares @ 97.7¢·now 97.9¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$300.46
$0.46
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?
211 shares @ 95.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$198.95
$-1.05
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.33Jul 29, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.33Jul 28, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.33Jul 27, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.33Jul 26, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.33Jul 25, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.30Jul 24, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sébastien Lecornu announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?$100.75Jul 23, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yaël Braun-Pivet announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?$100.38Jul 23, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jean Castex announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?$200.48Jul 23, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?$100.63Jul 23, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?$100.42Jul 23, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?$200.70Jul 23, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?$201.45Jul 23, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?$401.58Jul 23, 16:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.29Jul 23, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.29Jul 22, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.29Jul 21, 20:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.29Jul 21, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.29Jul 19, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.29Jul 18, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
14/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
8 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $175.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 21, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.