Thunderous-Disaster
0xedaa08683ddb476c4da72e232de2a4ae0d205786
Wallet digest
Activity score
38/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
43
Open notional
$9.02
Total PnL
$-657.01
Realised
$-20.91
Win rate
17%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- NO
Over 6 coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100?
8 shares @ 32.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.28
$1.62
- YES
Will Islam Makhachev remain #1 in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings?
5 shares @ 33.0¢·now 74.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.71
$2.06
- YES
Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top 20?
4 shares @ 39.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.01
$-0.48
- YES
Will Arman Tsarukyan be the next fighter to be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings in 2026?
10 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.01
$-0.10
- YES
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
2200 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.10
- NO
Aztec FDV above $150M one day after launch?
395 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-75.00
- NO
Over $3M committed to the Infinex public sale?
388 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-12.42
- NO
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?
283 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-42.50
- NO
Tria FDV above $100M one day after launch?
278 shares @ 18.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-50.75
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 21, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
214 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 21, 2025$0.00
$-7.93
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$100.00Jul 20, 01:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 20, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 18, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:19 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$2.56Jul 2, 00:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 1, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
17% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
3 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 3
- Avg trade size
- $7.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 3, 14:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 01:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.