Over 6 coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100?
Probability
51¢
1h
-2.0pp
24h
-2.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$323.44
Probability (last 7 days)
-6.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 6017.1h
- 11:54SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 6017h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.0pp
to 53¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.5pp
to 52¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.0pp
to 54¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 48¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 48¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.5pp
to 44¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.5pp
to 50¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.0pp
to 50¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.0pp
to 49¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 49¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -21.0pp
to 42¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.5pp
to 53¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -18.5pp
to 44¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.5pp
to 53¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.5pp
to 53¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 53¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 57¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 51¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 53¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 48¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 54¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 57¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 49¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 45¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026, the number of coins launched in 2026 that appear in the top 100 by market capitalization on CoinGecko is greater than the number specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The resolution source is CoinGecko’s Top 100 market cap rankings (https://www.coingecko.com/). Stablecoins, liquid staking tokens (LSTs), liquidity pool tokens, and synthetic representations of other assets will not qualify.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jan 1, 2027
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (59.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).