Will Arman Tsarukyan be the next fighter to be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings in 2026?
Probability
8¢
1h
+0.1pp
24h
+2.6pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$269.79
Probability (last 7 days)
-8.3pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 5992.8h
- 07:10SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 5993h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 07:10PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -18.6pp
to 8¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.2pp
to 8¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -21.1pp
to 10¢
- 04:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.0pp
to 13¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.9pp
to 12¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.9pp
to 10¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.3pp
to 12¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.0pp
to 8¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.3pp
to 11¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -22.3pp
to 6¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -16.4pp
to 7¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -29.2pp
to 8¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -17.6pp
to 2¢
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -18.6pp
to 1¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -22.9pp
to 0¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -21.6pp
to 0¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -33.5pp
to 3¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -19.6pp
to 0¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -15.3pp
to 5¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.8pp
to 8¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.9pp
to 10¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.6pp
to 11¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.7pp
to 12¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.3pp
to 10¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.0pp
to 13¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.2pp
to 13¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 12¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -32.1pp
to 10¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter to be ranked 1st in the UFC Pound-For-Pound rankings, following Islam Makhachev. If Islam Makhachev remains #1 in the UFC Pound-For-Pound rankings through December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no next UFC fighter to be ranked 1st in the Pound-For-Pound rankings within this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Islam/No Next #1 in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Dec 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (15.5¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).