Disastrous-Adoption
0xedb2e1ddf9b08902cccb8b366f94f546d4fe0778
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
37
Open notional
$48.31
Total PnL
$-13.18
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- NO
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by April 30?
11 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.09
$0.09
- NO
ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?
9 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$9.02
$0.02
- NO
Houthi military action against Israel by April 15, 2026?
7 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$6.67
$0.67
- NO
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 9.8¢·now 19.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.94
$0.94
- NO
Houthi military action against Israel by April 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.43
$0.43
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
1 shares @ 68.0¢·now 96.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.41
$0.41
- NO
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
1 shares @ 69.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.22
$0.22
- YES
AI bubble burst in 2026?
6 shares @ 17.2¢·now 20.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.22
$0.22
- YES
Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?
1 shares @ 78.0¢·now 89.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.15
$0.15
- YES
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?
1 shares @ 87.0¢·now 96.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.11
$0.11
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?$1.00Apr 11, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?$1.00Apr 11, 02:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?$1.00Apr 11, 02:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?$1.00Apr 11, 02:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?$1.00Apr 11, 02:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?$9.00Apr 11, 02:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.00Apr 11, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.00Apr 11, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Satoshi's identity be revealed by April 30?$11.00Apr 11, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by May 31?$1.00Apr 11, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYQuantum breaks Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$1.00Apr 11, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYTucker Carlson announces a run for office by June 30?$1.00Apr 11, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating fall to 39.0% in April?$1.00Apr 11, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating fall to 37.0% in April?$1.00Apr 11, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouthi military action against Israel by April 30, 2026?$1.00Apr 11, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouthi military action against Israel by April 15, 2026?$5.00Apr 11, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouthi military action against Israel by April 15, 2026?$1.00Apr 11, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5.5 be released on April 16, 2026?$1.00Apr 11, 01:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be back in as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by April 13?$1.00Apr 11, 01:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be back in as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by April 12?$1.00Apr 11, 01:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $1.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 10, 16:21 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 11, 02:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.