0xedf59dd4b177d4a9a65b37a17dca1ac80f83c94c
0xedf59dd4b177d4a9a65b37a17dca1ac80f83c94c
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$275.85
Total PnL
$-297.54
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
288 shares @ 17.0¢·now 13.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$39.89
$-9.07
- YES
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?
52 shares @ 48.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$27.63
$2.84
- YES
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25?
30 shares @ 84.0¢·now 91.8¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$27.28
$2.30
- YES
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?
48 shares @ 52.0¢·now 53.1¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$25.37
$0.55
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
44 shares @ 57.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$24.59
$-0.22
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
380 shares @ 6.4¢·now 5.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$19.97
$-4.37
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
51 shares @ 38.4¢·now 38.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$19.66
$-0.03
- NO
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
24 shares @ 83.0¢·now 81.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$19.51
$-0.49
- YES
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?
51 shares @ 39.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$16.98
$-2.79
- YES
Will Plasma reach $0.30 by December 31, 2026?
26 shares @ 38.2¢·now 57.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$15.05
$5.06
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$12.05Jun 25, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?$10.32Jun 25, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother pandemic before GTA VI?$10.41Jun 25, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$20.77Jun 25, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$10.42Jun 25, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$25.98Jun 25, 18:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Morocco win on 2026-06-24?$30.08Jun 25, 05:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Brazil win on 2026-06-24?$34.64Jun 25, 05:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-24?$48.65Jun 25, 05:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 25, 00:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?$36.12Jun 24, 21:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?$60.32Jun 24, 21:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Colombia win on 2026-06-23?$38.91Jun 24, 04:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Croatia win on 2026-06-23?$86.17Jun 24, 03:29 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 24, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Portugal win on 2026-06-23?$30.83Jun 23, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-25?$25.92Jun 23, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25?$25.85Jun 23, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-06-24?$25.92Jun 23, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?$25.92Jun 23, 09:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $27.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 20, 05:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 25, 19:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.