Will Plasma reach $0.30 by December 31, 2026?
Probability
52¢
1h
+11.5pp
24h
+5.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$302.62
Probability (last 7 days)
+13.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Up 6pp over 24h
Now 52¢; +11.5pp in the last hour.
- 2
Wide spread — 84.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Set an alert if probability drops back below 47¢ — that's where this move would be reversing.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowPrice movement
+4.0pp over the last 24h, now 52¢.
Biggest hourly move: +26.5pp at 20:00 (to 59¢).
Show top 8 of 41 hourly moves
- 08:00 · +16.5pp → 53¢
- 02:00 · +17.0pp → 52¢
- 00:00 · +15.5pp → 52¢
- 20:00 · +26.5pp → 59¢
- 17:00 · +17.5pp → 53¢
- 14:00 · +18.5pp → 55¢
- 2d ago · +16.5pp → 53¢
- 2d ago · +15.5pp → 52¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for XPL (XPL/USDT) between November 25, 2025, 17:30 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XPL/USDT “High” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XPL_USDT with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance XPL/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- —
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (84.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.