Flawed-Neighborhood
0xee1fc404a1c3fe646f1bb0488782e653369ef6fa
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$282.64
Total PnL
$-407.21
Realised
$93.90
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will fewer than 220 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 20-July 26?
150 shares @ 71.3¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$147.14
$40.14
- YES
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?
68 shares @ 44.0¢·now 82.8¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$56.45
$26.45
- YES
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
107 shares @ 29.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$35.81
$4.81
- YES
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
116 shares @ 34.5¢·now 18.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.47
$-18.53
- NO
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
25 shares @ 59.9¢·now 54.3¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$13.59
$-1.41
- YES
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
909 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.9¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$8.18
$-1.82
- YES
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
11875 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-219.76
- NO
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 23, 2026?
150 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- OVER
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 0.5
139 shares @ 76.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-106.00
- LONEER KAVANAGH
UFC 329: Brandon Royval vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)
91 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-61.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?$24.63Jul 28, 22:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$3.30Jul 28, 22:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?$2.56Jul 28, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 220 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 20-July 26?$67.00Jul 26, 21:25 UTC
- REDEEMLa Velada del Año 6: Viruzz vs Gero Arias$26.79Jul 26, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYLa Velada del Año 6: Viruzz vs Gero Arias$15.33Jul 25, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?$32.10Jul 24, 00:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?$30.84Jul 24, 00:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 220 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 20-July 26?$20.00Jul 24, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$10.49Jul 24, 00:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?$41.05Jul 24, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 220 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 20-July 26?$20.00Jul 23, 23:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 23, 2026?$5.00Jul 22, 23:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$15.30Jul 21, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?$6.29Jul 21, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$5.22Jul 21, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?$4.15Jul 21, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYLamine Yamal: 1+ goals$5.18Jul 19, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 0.5$36.41Jul 19, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 0.5$70.84Jul 18, 18:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $22.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 9, 18:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 22:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.