Idle-Flipflops
0xef290626e41f9d60b68bc0b76cae1afd0ccbf7ea
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$792.70
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$19.54
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 18, 2026?
326 shares @ 61.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$326.00
$127.14
- MIAMI MARLINS
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins
537 shares @ 49.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$268.50
$5.37
- OPENAI
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
809 shares @ 33.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$198.20
$-68.77
- YES
Will Democrats 66 (D66) win the most seats in Amsterdam’s 2026 municipal election?
733 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-197.91
- YES
Will Trump say "Peace in the Middle East" while addressing the nation on December 17?
458 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2025$0.00
$-251.90
- NO
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in April 2026?
373 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-231.26
- YES
Will Iran strike Ras Tanura by April 30?
352 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-116.16
- EVANSVILLE ACES
Spread: Southern Illinois Salukis (-4.5)
329 shares @ 88.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-289.52
- UNDER
Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 3.5
52 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-20.80
- NO
Will Trump say "Election" while addressing the nation on December 17?
30 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2025$0.00
$-4.80
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-05?$186.26Apr 27, 08:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$70.47Apr 27, 08:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$58.86Apr 27, 08:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$473.69Apr 27, 08:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$23.10Apr 27, 08:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?$509.15Apr 27, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$519.40Apr 23, 13:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in April 2026?$232.50Apr 13, 16:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?$793.44Apr 13, 15:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$5.16Apr 13, 15:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$212.85Apr 13, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in April 2026?$463.76Apr 13, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$414.12Apr 13, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 18, 2026?$198.86Apr 13, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?$802.56Apr 13, 12:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hezbollah disarm by March 31?$567.00Apr 13, 05:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?$224.68Apr 13, 04:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-05?$29.28Apr 12, 20:53 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?$74.14Apr 12, 00:35 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?$128.92Apr 12, 00:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $249.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 7, 12:04 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 08:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.