Humongous-Tie
0xefc0752cc61a994a60a4d7ae2890651b18f54942
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
6
Open notional
$1.6K
Total PnL
$180.63
Realised
$-65.36
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- $60
Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?
1308 shares @ 70.0¢·now 78.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.0K
$104.64
- NO
Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?
431 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$431.00
$51.72
- NO
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?
148 shares @ 25.9¢·now 83.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$122.84
$84.51
- NO
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?
21 shares @ 67.0¢·now 97.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2026$20.37
$6.30
- YES
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
4 shares @ 36.0¢·now 44.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.76
$0.32
- NO
Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal?
3 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$0.40Jun 17, 14:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?$0.00Jun 17, 14:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.00Jun 17, 14:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Stellan Skarsgard win Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?$0.00Jun 17, 14:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Steve Ballmer be 3rd richest person on March 31?$0.00Jun 17, 14:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$0.00Jun 17, 14:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.75 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?$0.00Jun 17, 14:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Olivia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?$4.00Jun 17, 14:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill "One Battle After Another" win exactly 7 awards at the Oscars?$0.00Jun 17, 14:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?$0.00Jun 17, 14:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?$29.00Jun 17, 14:14 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - February 17, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$0.00Jun 17, 14:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Sinners - Ludwig Göransson" win Best Score Soundtrack For Visual Media at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?$0.00Jun 17, 14:14 UTC
- REDEEMIsraeli forces enter Beirut by April 30, 2026?$39.00Jun 17, 14:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?$0.00Jun 17, 14:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be at least 700 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?$0.00Jun 17, 14:14 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - February 17, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$0.00Jun 17, 14:14 UTC
- REDEEMPurdue Fort Wayne Mastodons vs. Milwaukee Panthers (W)$0.00Jun 17, 14:14 UTC
- REDEEMOlympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahce$0.00Jun 17, 14:14 UTC
- REDEEMEast Texas A&M Lions vs. Lamar Cardinals$187.00Jun 17, 14:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $267.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 12, 20:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 17, 14:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.