0xf040b3611787aaf4c8729210c8696731f990d11f
0xf040b3611787aaf4c8729210c8696731f990d11f
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
193
Open notional
$8.3K
Total PnL
$-19.86
Realised
$10.09
Win rate
53%
53 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 193- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
137 shares @ 80.1¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$118.75
$8.75
- NO
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?
124 shares @ 73.2¢·now 89.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$110.52
$19.57
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
119 shares @ 85.2¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$107.60
$6.31
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
117 shares @ 89.3¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$103.98
$-0.97
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
111 shares @ 92.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$103.35
$1.62
- NO
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
108 shares @ 91.8¢·now 95.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$103.18
$4.10
- NO
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
111 shares @ 79.6¢·now 91.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$101.27
$12.69
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
118 shares @ 73.8¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$97.70
$10.36
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
104 shares @ 90.8¢·now 93.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$96.56
$2.23
- NO
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
104 shares @ 84.8¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$95.60
$6.97
Recent activity
- TRADESELLXi Jinping out before 2027?$9.92May 18, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYMasoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?$85.70May 18, 00:42 UTC
- YIELD$0.08May 18, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLUAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?$84.09May 17, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran coup attempt by June 30?$50.71May 17, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYAhmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?$2.24May 17, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYAhmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?$2.24May 17, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?$14.57May 17, 08:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.08May 17, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?$83.19May 16, 19:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?$83.13May 16, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?$50.80May 16, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia coup attempt in 2026?$77.09May 16, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia coup attempt in 2026?$8.40May 16, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S.O.S. Romania (SOS) be included in the next Romanian government?$85.04May 16, 09:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.44May 16, 04:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alfonso López Chau finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$26.26May 16, 04:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.09May 16, 02:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.46May 16, 01:31 UTC
- YIELD$0.08May 16, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $29.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 15:37 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 05:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 53 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".