Caring-Heritage
0xf0c9be340fba77b43ab0777b22e3aaa09efcf586
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$48.11
Total PnL
$-17.81
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
11 shares @ 46.9¢·now 62.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$6.66
$1.66
- NO
Will Jonas Sulzbach win Big Brother Brasil 26?
6 shares @ 94.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$6.36
$0.36
- YES
Will Ana Paula Renault win Big Brother Brasil 26?
6 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$6.33
$1.33
- NO
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
7 shares @ 72.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Nov 19, 2026$6.28
$1.28
- NO
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
8 shares @ 65.1¢·now 76.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$5.84
$0.84
- YES
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?
8 shares @ 64.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.82
$0.82
- NO
Will Kim Kardashian pass the bar exam by May 3?
6 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$5.68
$0.68
- NO
Will Milena Moreira win Big Brother Brasil 26?
5 shares @ 97.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$5.13
$0.13
- YES
Will The Secret Agent win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
22 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-03-12?
12 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$6.68Jul 1, 06:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET$1.41Mar 10, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$5.00Mar 10, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET$1.00Mar 10, 00:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SE Palmeiras win on 2026-03-12?$5.00Mar 10, 00:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Perfect Neighbor win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?$5.00Mar 10, 00:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?$5.00Mar 10, 00:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$5.00Mar 10, 00:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$5.00Mar 10, 00:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kim Kardashian pass the bar exam by May 3?$5.00Mar 10, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYGTA 6 launch postponed again?$5.00Mar 10, 00:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Milena Moreira win Big Brother Brasil 26?$5.00Mar 10, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jonas Sulzbach win Big Brother Brasil 26?$6.00Mar 10, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ana Paula Renault win Big Brother Brasil 26?$5.00Mar 10, 00:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Secret Agent win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?$5.00Mar 10, 00:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?$5.00Mar 10, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$5.00Mar 10, 00:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
15 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $4.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 10, 00:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 1, 06:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.