Grouchy-Millstone
0xf0d9af9effd0b4a039899901ba19a05ea1a3e4ee
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$128.5K
Total PnL
$29.9K
Realised
$5.8K
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
140441 shares @ 50.9¢·now 77.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$108.8K
$37.3K
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
6237 shares @ 67.6¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.7K
$1.5K
- NO
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?
4349 shares @ 87.8¢·now 91.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$4.0K
$137.49
- NO
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
4000 shares @ 76.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.5K
$420.00
- NO
Iran leadership change by December 31?
5000 shares @ 34.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.1K
$1.4K
- YES
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
26687 shares @ 35.1¢·now 4.8¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.3K
$-8.1K
- YES
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
3000 shares @ 57.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$975.00
$-735.00
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
3030 shares @ 42.3¢·now 23.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$712.03
$-570.82
- NO
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
20000 shares @ 4.1¢·now 1.6¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$310.00
$-510.00
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
25000 shares @ 27.7¢·now 0.9¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$237.50
$-6.7K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?$820.001d ago
- REWARD$1.912d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$137.132d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$0.722d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$7.242d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$300.922d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$0.722d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$0.722d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$6.432d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$10.502d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$0.722d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$0.722d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$0.722d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$4.772d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$0.722d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$0.722d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$0.722d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$72.412d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$6.302d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$42.002d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $96.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 5d ago
- Last active
- 1d ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.