Grouchy-Millstone
0xf0d9af9effd0b4a039899901ba19a05ea1a3e4ee
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$153.4K
Total PnL
$-103.5K
Realised
$11.7K
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
100602 shares @ 50.9¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$90.0K
$38.8K
- NO
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
23809 shares @ 74.2¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$23.6K
$5.9K
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
23739 shares @ 57.5¢·now 44.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$10.6K
$-3.1K
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
66180 shares @ 16.6¢·now 15.7¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$10.4K
$-610.51
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
46568 shares @ 35.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.5K
$-8.9K
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
6237 shares @ 67.6¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.2K
$2.0K
- NO
Iran leadership change by December 31?
5000 shares @ 34.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.0K
$2.3K
- YES
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
3266 shares @ 54.9¢·now 37.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.2K
$-584.05
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
284382 shares @ 33.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-96.4K
- YES
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
68679 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-33.0K
Recent activity
- REWARD$0.35Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$10.42Jun 14, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$6.4KJun 13, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$7.2KJun 13, 18:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$7.9KJun 13, 14:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$0.01Jun 13, 13:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$267.00Jun 13, 13:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$6.0KJun 13, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$966.00Jun 13, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$341.37Jun 13, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.01Jun 13, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$102.58Jun 13, 00:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$32.20Jun 13, 00:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$0.95Jun 13, 00:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$0.57Jun 13, 00:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$0.19Jun 13, 00:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$0.19Jun 13, 00:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$0.19Jun 13, 00:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$0.19Jun 13, 00:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$32.20Jun 13, 00:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $948.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 4, 09:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.