Squeaky-Knickers
0xf0f635cd8b46f07a938df91ec9bc6e3a04343836
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$918.41
Total PnL
$-323.93
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- NO
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by June 30?
227 shares @ 91.5¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$225.94
$17.94
- NO
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
150 shares @ 73.4¢·now 94.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$141.03
$31.03
- NO
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?
105 shares @ 95.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$104.95
$4.95
- NO
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
109 shares @ 92.0¢·now 91.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$98.86
$-1.14
- NO
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
125 shares @ 48.0¢·now 67.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$84.56
$24.56
- NO
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
68 shares @ 73.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$68.01
$18.01
- NO
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
74 shares @ 67.6¢·now 68.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$50.26
$0.26
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
55 shares @ 91.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$49.73
$-0.27
- NO
Will Tunisia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
32 shares @ 93.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$29.84
$-0.16
- NO
Will Jordan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
25 shares @ 81.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$22.10
$2.10
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02Jun 18, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 17, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$20.11Jun 16, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.12Jun 16, 23:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tunisia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$30.06Jun 16, 23:32 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 15, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?$50.65Jun 13, 21:36 UTC
- REDEEMSeattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals$56.18Jun 13, 03:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-06-15?$15.04Jun 13, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$11.28Jun 13, 02:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.25Jun 13, 02:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$50.18Jun 13, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals$50.16Jun 13, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?$50.12Jun 13, 02:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?$40.92Jun 13, 01:29 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 11, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
10 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $29.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 18, 00:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.