Likely-Watch
0xf11a87fa709f3c8bcefeb9aa173896f035d8d3e3
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
70
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-6.1K
Realised
$273.88
Win rate
100%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 70- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 5PM ET
523 shares @ 24.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-127.51
- NO
Will FK Krasnodar win on 2026-04-23?
490 shares @ 67.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-330.76
- NO
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-22?
490 shares @ 13.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-67.58
- NO
Will RFK Akhmat Groznyi vs. FK Baltika Kaliningrad end in a draw?
463 shares @ 69.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-322.39
- NO
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?
398 shares @ 73.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-293.87
- NO
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-23?
395 shares @ 54.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-214.02
- NO
Will SC Braga win on 2026-04-23?
393 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-157.12
- NO
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-04-24?
391 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-113.53
- NO
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-22?
391 shares @ 22.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-88.73
- NO
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-04-24?
391 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-105.63
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill FK Rostov vs. FK Orenburg end in a draw?$49.58May 7, 20:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24?$98.44May 7, 20:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-04-25?$98.89May 7, 20:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Levante UD vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw?$99.10May 7, 20:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-24?$99.25May 7, 20:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?$99.34May 7, 20:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?$99.40May 7, 20:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sunderland AFC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?$99.99May 7, 20:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Albacete Balompié win on 2026-04-24?$100.00May 7, 20:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mumbai City FC win on 2026-04-25?$100.00May 7, 20:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill CD Palestino win on 2026-04-23?$1.75May 7, 20:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bengaluru FC win on 2026-04-25?$5.36May 7, 20:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill North East United FC vs. FC Goa end in a draw?$9.48May 7, 20:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill FK Rukh Lviv win on 2026-04-25?$11.89May 7, 20:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Casa Pia AC vs. SC Braga end in a draw?$17.33May 7, 20:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hamburger SV vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim end in a draw?$21.74May 7, 20:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-04-25?$37.21May 7, 20:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill FK Rostov win on 2026-04-25?$49.28May 7, 20:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill AD Pasto vs. Independiente Santa Fe end in a draw?$100.00May 7, 20:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Gifu win on 2026-04-25?$100.00May 7, 20:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $33.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 24, 11:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 7, 20:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.