Embellished-Doorbell
0xf16dd3586eb9ca2b002a0498548b15439991b7f9
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
91
Open notional
$4.3K
Total PnL
$-964.07
Realised
$834.94
Win rate
54%
56 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 91- YES
Will Trump launch a coin by December 31?
1250 shares @ 21.7¢·now 24.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$299.96
$28.47
- NO
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
521 shares @ 51.7¢·now 49.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$255.07
$-14.21
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
262 shares @ 76.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$224.43
$24.96
- YES
Rippling IPO before 2027?
1250 shares @ 22.2¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$218.72
$-59.00
- YES
Mistral AI IPO before 2027?
919 shares @ 18.1¢·now 21.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$193.00
$26.30
- YES
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $16B?
727 shares @ 30.5¢·now 26.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$188.90
$-33.04
- YES
Vanta IPO before 2027?
1249 shares @ 22.4¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$168.68
$-111.24
- YES
Ripple Labs IPO before 2027?
1210 shares @ 17.4¢·now 13.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$157.24
$-53.34
- YES
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?
1249 shares @ 21.3¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$156.14
$-110.39
- YES
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
292 shares @ 69.8¢·now 52.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$151.91
$-52.16
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?$27.84Jun 13, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?$0.70Jun 13, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?$48.39Jun 13, 11:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?$2.67Jun 13, 11:18 UTC
- TRADESELLAnthropic IPO before 2027?$16.74Jun 13, 10:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?$4.39Jun 13, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?$31.29Jun 13, 10:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?$3.86Jun 13, 10:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?$2.76Jun 13, 09:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?$3.53Jun 13, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?$35.04Jun 13, 08:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?$3.25Jun 13, 08:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?$10.72Jun 13, 08:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?$1.55Jun 13, 08:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?$56.55Jun 13, 08:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?$27.95Jun 13, 08:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?$6.50Jun 13, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?$4.07Jun 13, 07:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GPT-5.6 be released between June 8 and June 14, 2026?$0.45Jun 13, 06:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?$13.47Jun 13, 06:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $21.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 00:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 13:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 56 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.