Square-Tshirt
0xf19b86b9bc668336e90aba1fb8d58d6438707c62
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$22.22
Total PnL
$-163.78
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Julia Letlow be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
22 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$22.22
$2.22
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
141 shares @ 85.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-120.00
- NO
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 26, 2026?
21 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-17.00
- YES
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?
21 shares @ 75.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-16.00
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
14 shares @ 90.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-13.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 15?$13.00Jun 2, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$120.00Jun 2, 01:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?$14.77Jun 2, 01:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?$25.19Jun 2, 01:58 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$93.18Jun 2, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?$13.06May 28, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$82.00May 28, 01:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?$27.28May 28, 01:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?$28.83May 28, 01:57 UTC
- REDEEMGPT-5.6 released by May 15, 2026?$39.32May 28, 01:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Julia Letlow be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?$20.08May 18, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?$23.10May 18, 02:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?$23.16May 18, 02:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Southampton achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?$18.73May 18, 02:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?$24.50May 18, 02:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mike Collins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?$11.05May 18, 02:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$12.04May 18, 02:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.6 released by May 15, 2026?$37.09May 13, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Southampton achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?$21.22May 13, 02:05 UTC
- TRADESELLConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$6.34May 13, 02:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $340.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 24, 01:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 01:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.