Real-Median
0xf1be5e75e056ff7a5bca88668980c9f594f6fa77
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$125.24
Total PnL
$-47.73
Realised
$0.06
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Uruguay finish second in Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
68 shares @ 58.4¢·now 57.5¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$39.35
$-0.62
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
21 shares @ 94.0¢·now 97.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$20.72
$0.72
- YES
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?
21 shares @ 94.4¢·now 94.2¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$19.95
$-0.05
- YES
Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch?
25 shares @ 79.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$18.19
$-1.91
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
62 shares @ 16.1¢·now 16.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$10.22
$0.22
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
59 shares @ 16.9¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.85
$-0.15
- YES
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH?
13 shares @ 69.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$6.96
$-2.01
- YES
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?
5 shares @ 82.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.01
$-3.99
- YES
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
85 shares @ 29.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- SPURS
Knicks vs. Spurs
23 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-14?$20.03Jun 14, 08:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Uruguay finish second in Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$5.00Jun 14, 06:53 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on June 13?$27.17Jun 13, 22:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sweden be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?$19.00Jun 13, 20:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sweden be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?$30.50Jun 13, 20:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Uruguay finish second in Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$1.09Jun 13, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on June 13?$25.10Jun 13, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?$1.52Jun 13, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?$2.02Jun 13, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?$46.54Jun 13, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uruguay finish second in Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$46.57Jun 13, 10:37 UTC
- REDEEMRoland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek$0.00Jun 13, 10:30 UTC
- REDEEMRoland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca$0.00Jun 13, 10:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 7?$0.00Jun 13, 10:30 UTC
- REDEEMKnicks vs. Spurs$0.00Jun 13, 10:30 UTC
- REDEEMSpurs vs. Knicks$0.00Jun 13, 10:30 UTC
- REDEEMKnicks vs. Spurs$0.00Jun 13, 10:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 5?$0.00Jun 13, 10:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on June 6?$0.00Jun 13, 10:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $19.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 7, 10:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 08:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.