Considerate-Gathering
0xf1d032341d8d127ddb4ac8cca2ffe0c50a3b1f31
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
30
Open notional
$18.57
Total PnL
$-17.33
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- NO
Will Caio Borralho be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 97.0¢·now 98.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.95
$0.10
- YES
Will Jonathan Hofeller be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?
51 shares @ 3.0¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$1.28
$-0.26
- YES
Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$1.06
$0.06
- YES
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- NO
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 97.3¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1 shares @ 97.4¢·now 97.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.00
$-0.00
- NO
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1 shares @ 78.3¢·now 77.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.98
$-0.02
- NO
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1 shares @ 95.8¢·now 93.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.98
$-0.02
- NO
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
1 shares @ 93.0¢·now 90.6¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.97
$-0.03
- YES
Will Antonio Gracias be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?
70 shares @ 1.6¢·now 1.3¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.91
$-0.21
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Antonio Gracias be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?$1.05Jun 14, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jonathan Hofeller be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?$0.33Jun 14, 00:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jonathan Hofeller be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?$0.60Jun 13, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Juncosa be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?$1.19Jun 13, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Antonio Gracias be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?$0.08Jun 13, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jonathan Hofeller be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?$0.63Jun 13, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$1.01Jun 11, 05:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Africa win on 2026-06-11?$1.03Jun 8, 17:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?$10.09Jun 8, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$0.01Jun 3, 23:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill João Pedro be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$5.00Jun 3, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill João Pedro be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$3.73Jun 1, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill João Pedro be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$1.22Jun 1, 17:39 UTC
- REDEEMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$2.86Jun 1, 17:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $100 in May?$11.71Jun 1, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?$8.38Jun 1, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $100 in May?$6.63May 29, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $100 in May?$5.03May 29, 17:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Erling Haaland be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?$1.04May 25, 06:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Federico Dimarco lead Serie A in assists during the 2025-26 season?$20.34May 25, 06:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $3.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 23:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.