Carefree-Jot
0xf220f3e81795d6dadd4e646c71f632f6cdd4e924
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$11.35
Total PnL
$-12.40
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?
3000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$4.50
$-1.50
- YES
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?
14 shares @ 14.5¢·now 13.9¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$1.91
$-0.09
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6 shares @ 16.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.00
$-0.00
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
9 shares @ 11.5¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.00
$-0.00
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
11 shares @ 9.4¢·now 9.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 8.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.98
$-0.02
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6 shares @ 17.1¢·now 16.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.97
$-0.03
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
60 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
38 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$1.07Jun 4, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$1.07Jun 4, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 4, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$1.07Jun 4, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 4, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$2.13Jun 4, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 4, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$1.06Jun 4, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 4, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$1.06Jun 4, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$1.05Jun 4, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 4, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$1.06Jun 4, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?$6.00Jun 4, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 4, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 4, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 4, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 4, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.02Jun 4, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYPredict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?$2.12Jun 4, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$1.07Jun 4, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$0.80Jun 4, 13:22 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - May 7, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$0.00Jun 4, 13:09 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - May 7, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$0.00Jun 4, 13:09 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$0.00Jun 4, 13:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $1.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 7, 15:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 14:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".