Ill-Informed-Icebreaker
0xf24f67c60c18d3a2893ced432d5806ebd53ecfb7
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$31.73
Total PnL
$-158.85
Realised
$1.13
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?
800 shares @ 6.0¢·now 1.8¢·exp Nov 4, 2026$14.80
$-33.20
- YES
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?
188 shares @ 12.8¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.69
$-19.32
- YES
Will Tyler Kistner be the Republican Nominee for MN-02?
200 shares @ 17.9¢·now 1.9¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$3.80
$-32.12
- NO
Will Eric Pratt be the Republican Nominee for MN-02?
200 shares @ 20.0¢·now 1.8¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$3.70
$-36.30
- YES
Will Republican House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
9 shares @ 4.0¢·now 38.2¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$3.60
$3.22
- YES
Will Nancy Dahlstrom win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
200 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.10
$-32.90
- YES
Will Republican House incumbents not win in fewer than three nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.03
$-0.95
- YES
Will the Central African Democratic Rally win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?
18 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 28, 2025$0.01
$-0.17
- YES
Will Derek Grasty advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
47 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-7.93
- YES
Will Resni.ca (Res) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?
2 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-0.32
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$6.95Jun 1, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLOpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?$1.71May 31, 23:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1.6KMay 31, 22:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$2.81May 31, 22:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$170.28May 31, 22:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1.9KMay 31, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$37.65May 31, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$40.00May 31, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$42.00May 31, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$30.00May 31, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$40.00May 31, 22:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$348.48May 31, 15:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$28.75May 31, 15:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$2.09May 31, 15:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$2.09May 31, 15:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$2.09May 31, 15:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$2.09May 31, 15:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$10.45May 31, 15:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$2.09May 31, 15:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$2.09May 31, 15:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $188.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 26, 14:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.