Wet-Emotion
0xf29b060ab42c31afb6ed7b6aded05985b1e2961e
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$706.95
Total PnL
$4.20
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will the Democrats win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026?
149 shares @ 95.0¢·now 96.3¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$143.30
$1.93
- NO
Will the Democrats win the Kentucky Senate race in 2026?
146 shares @ 93.8¢·now 93.9¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$136.92
$0.14
- NO
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
155 shares @ 68.4¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$126.68
$20.38
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Maine governor race in 2026?
100 shares @ 91.9¢·now 94.3¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$94.22
$2.46
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Hawaii governor race in 2026?
95 shares @ 94.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$89.14
$-0.48
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?
43 shares @ 93.0¢·now 94.1¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$40.66
$0.48
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?
39 shares @ 93.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$36.19
$0.19
- NO
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?
16 shares @ 92.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$14.81
$0.16
- YES
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
41 shares @ 34.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$7.61
$-6.38
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Kentucky Senate race in 2026?
81 shares @ 9.9¢·now 6.1¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$4.95
$-3.06
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the next Claude Opus model be released on July 24, 2026?$1.6KJul 24, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Claude Opus model be released on July 24, 2026?$177.86Jul 23, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Claude Opus model be released on July 24, 2026?$87.45Jul 23, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Claude Opus model be released on July 24, 2026?$38.69Jul 23, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Claude Opus model be released on July 24, 2026?$41.60Jul 23, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Claude Opus model be released on July 24, 2026?$65.58Jul 23, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Claude Opus model be released on July 24, 2026?$41.60Jul 23, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Claude Opus model be released on July 24, 2026?$184.46Jul 23, 22:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Shabana Mahmood be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$0.00Jul 20, 15:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fannie Mae’s market cap be between $350B and $400B at market close on IPO day?$0.00Jul 1, 07:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fannie Mae’s market cap be between $300B and $350B at market close on IPO day?$9.32Jul 1, 07:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in August 2026 (ET)?$0.00Jun 12, 19:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX fail to complete an initial public offering by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?$0.00Jun 12, 19:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in September 2026 (ET)?$0.00Jun 12, 19:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?$100.42May 27, 16:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republicans win the Nebraska governor race in 2026?$160.39May 27, 16:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republicans win the Oklahoma Senate race in 2026?$193.74May 27, 16:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?$181.23May 27, 16:29 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: KFUM-Kameratene Oslo (-2.5)$4.32May 16, 16:37 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$0.00May 16, 07:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $52.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 23, 23:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 24, 20:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.