Amused-Colt
0xf2f8e29c0e5753d979bb4944fe838b7a8d739f7e
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
31
Open notional
$21.11
Total PnL
$-305.60
Realised
$211.76
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
525 shares @ 5.3¢·now 3.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.47
$-7.09
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?
211 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.63
$-3.37
- NO
Will Iran strike Israel on March 8?
30876 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-244.91
- YES
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
14500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-29.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?
13483 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-99.49
- YES
Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?
3872 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-23.00
- NO
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?
3240 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-3.24
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
2260 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-9.90
- YES
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?
1286 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$1.04May 29, 06:30 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$0.64May 29, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C or below on May 27?$1.05May 27, 15:04 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$0.85May 27, 15:03 UTC
- REDEEMUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?$0.00May 27, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?$2.00May 26, 16:40 UTC
- TRADESELLInternet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?$2.72May 26, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?$2.00May 26, 14:59 UTC
- TRADESELLInternet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?$1.66May 26, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$4.19May 25, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?$1.00May 25, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$1.05May 25, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?$1.00May 25, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?$1.00May 25, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?$1.00May 25, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?$1.00May 25, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?$4.00May 25, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$10.47May 25, 21:21 UTC
- TRADESELLInternet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?$2.02May 25, 21:20 UTC
- TRADESELLInternet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?$9.30May 25, 17:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $6.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 8, 12:56 UTC
- Last active
- May 29, 06:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.