Interesting-Musicbox
0xf34f7cfe8d1b7e7361ca608b46713befa0424d6e
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$560.36
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$-194.66
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
606 shares @ 16.5¢·now 16.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$101.52
$1.52
- YES
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
647 shares @ 17.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$100.29
$-9.71
- YES
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
290 shares @ 34.5¢·now 34.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$99.91
$-0.09
- YES
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
714 shares @ 14.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$96.43
$-3.57
- YES
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?
960 shares @ 10.9¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$62.39
$-42.61
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
962 shares @ 5.2¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$49.52
$-0.48
- YES
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
187 shares @ 26.8¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$25.23
$-24.77
- YES
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
193 shares @ 25.9¢·now 13.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$25.08
$-24.92
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
662 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?
387 shares @ 25.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpread: Switzerland (-1.5) AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$76.46Jun 13, 04:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?$0.15Jun 12, 20:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?$90.91Jun 12, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?$51.02Jun 12, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$102.50Jun 12, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$51.42Jun 12, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$102.58Jun 12, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnited States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 AND Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?$50.93Jun 12, 16:20 UTC
- REDEEMMexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5$161.33Jun 11, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYMexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5$101.14Jun 11, 20:15 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$217.54Jun 11, 18:26 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?$149.87Jun 11, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?$200.00Jun 10, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYNaim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?$100.00Jun 10, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$50.00Jun 8, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYNaim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?$5.00Jun 8, 21:14 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?$117.24Jun 8, 21:13 UTC
- TRADESELLNaim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?$61.26Jun 8, 11:26 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?$40.03Jun 8, 11:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $92.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 20, 07:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 04:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.