Bold-Graph
0xf3516f299e7e97ef8731635a51501afdc4476284
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$1.0K
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$22.19
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- PENN STATE NITTANY LIONS
Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Akron Zips
1071 shares @ 40.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025$535.50
$107.10
- EASTERN ILLINOIS PANTHERS
Blackburn Beavers vs. Eastern Illinois Panthers
422 shares @ 69.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$422.00
$127.02
- NO
Databricks IPO before 2027?
83 shares @ 70.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$68.47
$10.38
- OPENAI
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
43 shares @ 35.0¢·now 23.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$9.89
$-5.16
- NO
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?
4 shares @ 84.0¢·now 86.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.44
$0.08
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 9PM ET
727 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-356.23
- YES
Will the total number of TSA passengers for December 25 be between 2,250,000 and 2,500,000?
693 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-200.97
- OVER
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5
559 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-190.06
- YES
Will Keir Starmer say "Affordable" or "Affordability" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
555 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-244.20
- UNDER
Dundee FC vs. Motherwell FC: O/U 2.5
545 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-348.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYDatabricks IPO before 2027?$58.10Apr 11, 00:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?$58.20Apr 9, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?$66.93Apr 7, 08:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Wuhan San Zhen FC win on 2026-04-17?$61.92Mar 30, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wuhan San Zhen FC win on 2026-04-17?$20.16Mar 30, 09:35 UTC
- TRADESELLPakistan military action against Kabul by April 15?$25.11Mar 25, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYPakistan military action against Kabul by April 15?$55.89Mar 25, 03:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike ≥4 countries in March 2026?$55.49Mar 24, 05:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike ≥4 countries in March 2026?$68.02Mar 23, 00:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Movistar KOI qualify to MSI 2026?$68.64Mar 22, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Movistar KOI qualify to MSI 2026?$454.08Mar 20, 08:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill David Portnoy give another 9+ pizza review by April 30?$249.60Mar 19, 03:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill David Portnoy give another 9+ pizza review by April 30?$185.76Mar 19, 03:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill David Portnoy give another 9+ pizza review by April 30?$116.10Mar 17, 01:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill David Portnoy give another 9+ pizza review by April 30?$156.00Mar 17, 01:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$278.08Mar 16, 02:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$11.44Mar 16, 02:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$565.88Mar 14, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Juárez win on 2026-02-22?$29.04Mar 13, 00:24 UTC
- REDEEMUp Only podcast released by February 28, 2026?$0.97Mar 11, 12:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $103.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 27, 02:53 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 11, 00:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".