Pleased-Person
0xf3698a95f4967be632ac852d784ae7e5e3449706
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$12.34
Total PnL
$-3.66
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will Luke Littler win the PDC World Darts Championship?
2 shares @ 46.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$2.17
$1.17
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
2 shares @ 57.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$1.75
$0.75
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
2 shares @ 64.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$1.56
$0.56
- YES
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?
2 shares @ 66.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$1.51
$0.51
- YES
Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?
1 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$1.18
$0.18
- YES
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$1.10
$0.10
- YES
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?
1 shares @ 96.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$1.04
$0.04
- YES
Will Drake release a new song in 2025?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1 shares @ 80.0¢·now 61.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.76
$-0.24
- YES
Will Genter Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?
2 shares @ 60.5¢·now 14.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.24
$-0.76
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?$1.00Feb 12, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$1.00Feb 6, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?$1.00Jan 28, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Jan 22, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Genter Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?$1.00Jan 6, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?$1.00Dec 25, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model for coding on March 31?$1.00Dec 18, 12:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Taylor Swift be the second most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?$1.05Dec 10, 12:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model on October 31?$2.33Dec 10, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luke Littler win the PDC World Darts Championship?$1.00Dec 10, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?$1.00Nov 27, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$1.00Nov 20, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Taylor Swift be the second most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?$1.00Nov 13, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$1.00Nov 6, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Drake release a new song in 2025?$1.00Oct 30, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the GreenLeft–Labour Party alliance win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$1.00Oct 23, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Oct 16, 07:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill France recognize Palestine in 2025?$1.12Oct 10, 05:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Joe Flacco start Week 1 for the Browns?$1.19Oct 10, 05:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 40% on August 15?$1.22Oct 10, 05:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 12:49 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 12, 09:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.