Mixed-Arm
0xf3f0b5ce8358773d02639803c75ac96c8c24f05f
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$972.27
Total PnL
$-653.67
Realised
$-33.18
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win 110 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
678 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$678.00
$0.68
- YES
Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
242 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$242.00
$45.98
- NO
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?
27 shares @ 26.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$22.27
$15.26
- MICHIGAN STATE SPARTANS
Michigan State Spartans vs. Temple Owls
40 shares @ 52.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$20.00
$-0.80
- YES
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in blocks during the 2025–26 NBA season?
10 shares @ 63.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$10.00
$3.70
- SOUTH CAROLINA STATE BULLDOGS
Morgan State Bears vs. South Carolina State Bulldogs
806 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-451.36
- YES
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?
397 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-119.10
- YES
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in February 2026 (ET)?
108 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.65
- NO
Will Mike McDaniel be fired by February 28?
106 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-79.50
- NO
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?
59 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-13.57
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMichigan State Spartans vs. Temple Owls$20.80Apr 11, 00:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?$20.51Apr 10, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$196.02Apr 8, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?$102.90Apr 7, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?$104.10Apr 7, 10:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump create a tariff dividend by March 31?$11.00Apr 7, 05:13 UTC
- REDEEMColorado State Rams vs. Saint Mary's Gaels (W)$392.00Apr 7, 05:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYColorado State Rams vs. Saint Mary's Gaels (W)$619.36Mar 17, 04:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Edouard Philippe be the next mayor of Le Havre?$33.29Mar 16, 08:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Hormuz" this week? (March 22)$450.68Mar 16, 08:29 UTC
- TRADESELLFed emergency rate cut before 2027?$89.46Mar 16, 00:40 UTC
- TRADESELLFed emergency rate cut before 2027?$46.20Mar 16, 00:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Edouard Philippe be the next mayor of Le Havre?$25.50Mar 15, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hormuz" this week? (March 22)$302.43Mar 14, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed emergency rate cut before 2027?$122.74Mar 14, 09:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?$450.36Mar 13, 04:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?$450.36Mar 13, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?$400.89Mar 11, 10:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-01-04?$49.72Mar 10, 10:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-01-04?$48.59Mar 6, 05:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $159.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 22, 07:30 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 11, 00:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.