Posh-Tenet
0xf45eae8f72f5da09a9ce07046296208fee237628
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$17.69
Total PnL
$-2.31
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?
4 shares @ 57.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$3.51
$1.51
- YES
Will the Fed cut-cut-cut in 2025?
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$1.85
$0.85
- YES
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$1.85
$0.85
- YES
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
2 shares @ 54.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.83
$0.83
- YES
Will Scott Wiener receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?
2 shares @ 61.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$1.56
$0.56
- YES
Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?
1 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.45
$0.45
- YES
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?
1 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.28
$0.28
- YES
Will Terri Pickens win the 2026 Idaho Governor Democratic primary election?
1 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$1.20
$0.20
- YES
Will Charlie Kirk be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.14
$0.14
- YES
Will Adolescence win Best Television Limited Series at the 83rd Golden Globes?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$1.06
$0.06
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Scott Wiener receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?$1.00Feb 9, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?$1.00Jan 29, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYFlying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?$1.00Jan 23, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?$1.00Jan 7, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Terri Pickens win the 2026 Idaho Governor Democratic primary election?$1.00Dec 26, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?$1.00Dec 19, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Adolescence win Best Television Limited Series at the 83rd Golden Globes?$1.00Dec 12, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?$1.00Nov 28, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?$1.00Nov 24, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Drake be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?$1.00Nov 14, 06:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Travis Hunter play offense and defense?$1.15Nov 7, 10:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$1.18Nov 7, 10:11 UTC
- REDEEMUFC Fight Night: Estevam vs. Bunes $1.23Nov 7, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?$1.00Nov 7, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shane Steichen win NFL Coach of the Year?$1.00Oct 31, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYKinetiq FDV above $250M one day after launch?$1.00Oct 24, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charlie Kirk be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?$1.00Oct 17, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$1.00Oct 10, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lando Norris finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?$1.00Sep 26, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed cut-cut-cut in 2025?$1.00Sep 12, 10:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 29, 12:45 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 9, 06:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".