Optimistic-Slot
0xf4793eeb2d17c33230921a93ee67f6f7e6d70fe3
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
45
Open notional
$138.72
Total PnL
$-383.24
Realised
$-1.79
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 45- NO
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
53 shares @ 98.4¢·now 98.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$51.98
$-0.03
- OVER
FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 4.5
36 shares @ 55.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$36.36
$16.36
- SPORTING CP
Spread: Gil Vicente FC (-1.5)
33 shares @ 99.2¢·now 98.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$32.62
$-0.38
- YES
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-05-16?
6 shares @ 82.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$4.97
$-0.03
- AL HILAL SAUDI CLUB
Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-1.5)
4 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$4.35
$1.35
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
2 shares @ 82.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp May 27, 2026$2.01
$0.01
- OVER
Orlando City SC vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 1.5
2 shares @ 85.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$1.99
$-0.01
- OVER
New York Red Bulls vs. New York City FC: O/U 1.5
2 shares @ 84.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$1.99
$-0.01
- MODESTAS BUKAUSKAS
UFC Fight Night: Modestas Bukauskas vs. Christian Edwards (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)
1 shares @ 75.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp May 17, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1 shares @ 94.5¢·now 94.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.95
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNew York Red Bulls vs. New York City FC: O/U 1.5$2.01May 16, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYOrlando City SC vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 1.5$2.01May 16, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Gil Vicente FC (-1.5)$33.01May 16, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sporting CP win on 2026-05-16?$5.03May 16, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Modestas Bukauskas vs. Christian Edwards (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)$1.01May 16, 18:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$47.93May 16, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?$1.05May 16, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-1.5)$3.03May 16, 16:21 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$6.71May 16, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUY1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: Both Teams to Score$6.06May 16, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYFC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 4.5$20.27May 16, 12:33 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Aston Villa FC (-2.5)$2.08May 16, 11:07 UTC
- REDEEMAston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score$3.17May 16, 11:07 UTC
- REDEEMAston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5$6.33May 16, 11:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$100.05May 15, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYPistons vs. Cavaliers$1.01May 15, 21:03 UTC
- TRADESELLInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev$0.93May 15, 21:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$1.02May 15, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$1.00May 15, 20:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $13.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 06:05 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 18:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".