Linear-Provider
0xf49324983fde7da38cb38cbe7590f3dc87805d5e
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
34
Open notional
$48.71
Total PnL
$-5.36
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- YES
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 37.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.57
$0.57
- YES
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 80.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.33
$0.33
- NO
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 91.0¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.18
$0.18
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
2 shares @ 94.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.12
$0.12
- NO
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
2 shares @ 94.0¢·now 98.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.10
$0.10
- NO
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30?
2 shares @ 96.5¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.06
$0.06
- NO
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 97.2¢·now 99.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.05
$0.05
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 97.5¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.05
$0.05
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
2 shares @ 97.2¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.04
$0.04
- NO
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 97.9¢·now 99.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.03
$0.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31, 2026?$2.00Jun 19, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?$2.00Jun 19, 17:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting?$1.23Jun 19, 13:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?$1.18Jun 14, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. national debt hit $40 trillion before 2027?$2.00Jun 12, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?$1.00Jun 5, 14:28 UTC
- REDEEMKnicks vs. Spurs$0.00Jun 4, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$2.00Jun 3, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYKurds declare independence from Iran?$2.00Jun 3, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Spurs$1.01Jun 3, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?$1.00Jun 3, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$1.00Jun 3, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?$1.00Jun 3, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$2.00Jun 3, 12:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Myropillia by May 31?$0.00Jun 3, 12:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by May 31?$0.00Jun 3, 12:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?$1.03Jun 3, 12:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by May 31?$1.08Jun 3, 12:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?$1.08Jun 3, 12:55 UTC
- REDEEMIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?$1.10Jun 3, 12:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
25 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $1.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 29, 09:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 19, 17:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.