Crazy-Reality
0xf4a0a317296911465af9012b62fd368894fec225
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$151.70
Total PnL
$-984.92
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- TEXAS RANGERS
Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros
220 shares @ 50.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp May 23, 2026$110.88
$1.10
- NO
US recession by end of 2026?
19 shares @ 66.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$14.76
$2.03
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
15 shares @ 74.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$14.65
$3.30
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
14 shares @ 90.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp May 27, 2026$11.41
$-1.19
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?
10967 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-263.21
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,100 on October 31?
8885 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-106.62
- PENGUINS
Penguins vs. Flyers
232 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-109.12
- CLEVELAND GUARDIANS
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians
221 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-121.70
- NO
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?
206 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-113.27
- TATSURO TAIRA
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)
180 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-110.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTexas Rangers vs. Houston Astros$16.50May 15, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYTexas Rangers vs. Houston Astros$1.00May 15, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYTexas Rangers vs. Houston Astros$7.01May 15, 04:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYTexas Rangers vs. Houston Astros$20.00May 15, 04:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYTexas Rangers vs. Houston Astros$11.00May 15, 04:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYTexas Rangers vs. Houston Astros$25.00May 15, 04:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYTexas Rangers vs. Houston Astros$29.71May 15, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)$111.32May 6, 03:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYPenguins vs. Flyers$110.86Apr 29, 03:55 UTC
- REDEEMSt. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins$201.49Apr 29, 03:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYSt. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins$112.34Apr 22, 06:50 UTC
- REWARD$2.40Apr 22, 03:35 UTC
- REWARD$2.10Apr 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBaltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians$121.70Apr 17, 08:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14?$189.63Apr 17, 01:47 UTC
- REWARD$26.67Apr 16, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14?$113.27Apr 9, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?$114.82Apr 6, 05:51 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Group A$19.36Apr 6, 05:48 UTC
- REDEEMNetanyahu out by March 31?$1.4KApr 6, 05:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $269.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 20, 07:39 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 06:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".