Embellished-Rainy
0xf4c8c7763855ebef24e972cb62343c8f61aa21e8
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-469.27
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?
4796 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-101.00
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?
667 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?
500 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?
455 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?
300 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
260 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-65.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?
250 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
224 shares @ 13.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-30.80
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
205 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-32.84
- YES
Will the S&P 500 (SPX) open at 7000+ on April 8?
172 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 21?$23.00May 16, 09:20 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by May 31?$1.05May 16, 09:19 UTC
- TRADESELLNaim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?$1.87May 16, 09:19 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by June 30?$2.71May 16, 09:19 UTC
- TRADESELLPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?$11.58May 16, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$20.00May 16, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 24?$30.00May 16, 09:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 21?$7.80May 16, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$20.00May 16, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 24?$35.00May 16, 09:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?$16.84Apr 28, 09:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $205-$210 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 20 – Apr 24?$7.59Apr 28, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYTulsi Gabbard out by April 30?$6.00Apr 22, 00:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?$10.00Apr 21, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?$25.00Apr 21, 20:10 UTC
- TRADESELLKash Patel out by June 30?$14.41Apr 21, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?$16.00Apr 21, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?$10.00Apr 21, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 50 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?$3.00Apr 21, 19:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be between 12 and 15 on April 19, 2026?$29.22Apr 21, 19:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $10.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 13, 20:44 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 09:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".