Whopping-Mosquito
0xf4d0b62bafd9c9bf1b4b1d9ff849568ea3be4637
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
49
Open notional
$33.1K
Total PnL
$2.0K
Realised
$934.81
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 49- NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
15000 shares @ 91.1¢·now 96.7¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$14.5K
$838.23
- YES
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
12500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$7.3K
$1.1K
- NO
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
12500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$5.2K
$-1.1K
- NO
Human moon landing in 2026?
1000 shares @ 93.6¢·now 99.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$989.50
$53.35
- YES
Will the U.S. national debt hit $40 trillion before 2027?
781 shares @ 93.9¢·now 96.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$754.81
$22.13
- NO
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?
600 shares @ 87.5¢·now 93.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$558.00
$33.00
- NO
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 2m barrels per day in 2026?
560 shares @ 95.6¢·now 96.7¢·exp Feb 28, 2027$541.16
$5.92
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
500 shares @ 81.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$472.50
$67.50
- NO
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
403 shares @ 86.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$352.46
$6.04
- NO
Will the U.S. national debt hit $42 trillion before 2027?
341 shares @ 89.2¢·now 96.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$328.44
$24.13
Recent activity
- YIELD$1.11Jul 29, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$1.11Jul 28, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?$5.00Jul 27, 05:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?$5.00Jul 27, 05:54 UTC
- YIELD$1.11Jul 27, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the For safe food – through strengthening sustainable domestic production, increasing plant-based foods and ensuring clean drinking water (food initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote?$48.00Jul 26, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?$29.83Jul 26, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the For safe food – through strengthening sustainable domestic production, increasing plant-based foods and ensuring clean drinking water (food initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote?$48.62Jul 26, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$97.50Jul 26, 06:42 UTC
- YIELD$1.11Jul 26, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$1.07Jul 25, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?$5.00Jul 24, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?$5.00Jul 24, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a dozen eggs cost ≥$3.50 in July?$39.96Jul 24, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. national debt hit $40 trillion before 2027?$35.04Jul 24, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. national debt hit $40 trillion before 2027?$35.04Jul 24, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. national debt hit $40 trillion before 2027?$38.78Jul 24, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. national debt hit $40 trillion before 2027?$38.78Jul 24, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. national debt hit $40 trillion before 2027?$38.78Jul 24, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. national debt hit $40 trillion before 2027?$38.78Jul 24, 07:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
21 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $124.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 19, 16:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.