Judicious-Sidewalk
0xf51f1f54a60cdd968246fb54f1822d328f10ea3e
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$15.54
Total PnL
$-2.46
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?
2 shares @ 49.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.04
$1.04
- YES
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$2.00
$1.00
- YES
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?
2 shares @ 62.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$1.61
$0.61
- YES
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?
2 shares @ 66.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$1.52
$0.52
- YES
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?
1 shares @ 71.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$1.41
$0.41
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
1 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.39
$0.39
- YES
Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$1.22
$0.22
- YES
Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.14
$0.14
- YES
Will Erling Haaland be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?
1 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$1.11
$0.11
- YES
Will Salvador Alejandro César Nasralla Salum finish in second place in the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$1.09
$0.09
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?$1.00Feb 11, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?$1.00Feb 5, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBased FDV above $200M one day after launch?$1.00Jan 28, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?$1.00Jan 5, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?$1.00Dec 25, 05:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Salvador Alejandro César Nasralla Salum finish in second place in the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$1.00Dec 18, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Dec 10, 05:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.18Nov 27, 07:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$1.27Nov 27, 07:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on October 28?$1.30Nov 27, 07:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?$1.33Nov 27, 07:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2025?$1.35Nov 27, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Die With a Smile by Lady Gaga and Bruno Mars be the most streamed song globally on Spotify for 2025?$1.00Nov 27, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?$1.00Nov 20, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Erling Haaland be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?$1.00Nov 12, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?$1.00Nov 6, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$1.00Oct 29, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on October 28?$1.00Oct 22, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2025?$1.00Oct 15, 12:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Real Betis win on 2025-08-22?$1.82Oct 9, 05:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
23 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 06:11 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 11, 12:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.