Decent-Aside
0xf579036e211211ab1d5d944f1665c394d5959989
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$26.3K
Total PnL
$2.3K
Realised
$714.08
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Fed rate hike in 2026?
16231 shares @ 66.2¢·now 74.5¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$12.1K
$1.4K
- NO
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?
6100 shares @ 83.2¢·now 78.8¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$4.8K
$-269.54
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
3000 shares @ 93.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$3.0K
$199.50
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?
2046 shares @ 89.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$2.0K
$205.96
- YES
GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?
1100 shares @ 95.1¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$1.1K
$34.75
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?
1000 shares @ 86.3¢·now 98.3¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$982.50
$119.50
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
1063 shares @ 93.2¢·now 79.1¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$840.97
$-149.28
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
712 shares @ 85.7¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$709.69
$99.76
- YES
GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?
506 shares @ 65.0¢·now 70.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$354.39
$25.31
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of July?
610 shares @ 48.9¢·now 46.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$283.76
$-14.63
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?$2.0KJul 29, 02:50 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$5.66Jul 28, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$16.16Jul 28, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLFed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?$776.29Jul 27, 14:26 UTC
- TRADESELLFed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?$315.00Jul 27, 14:25 UTC
- TRADESELLFed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?$9.45Jul 27, 14:23 UTC
- TRADESELLFed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?$9.52Jul 27, 13:05 UTC
- TRADESELLFed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?$100.00Jul 27, 12:03 UTC
- TRADESELLFed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?$14.18Jul 27, 12:03 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$21.87Jul 27, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$4.41Jul 27, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate hike in 2026?$3.1KJul 26, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate hike in 2026?$2.6KJul 26, 12:21 UTC
- REWARD$5.28Jul 26, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate hike in 2026?$48.54Jul 25, 23:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate hike in 2026?$11.23Jul 25, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate hike in 2026?$34.67Jul 25, 21:33 UTC
- REWARD$5.50Jul 25, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$41.99Jul 24, 05:31 UTC
- REWARD$5.86Jul 24, 00:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
13/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $512.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 20, 03:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 02:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.