Self-Reliant-Menorah
0xf5d0b81ef5f0e51ca38c4b870f82d6d3556299f3
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$194.01
Total PnL
$-114.63
Realised
$-2.03
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.09Jul 29, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?$2.25Jul 28, 14:55 UTC
- TRADESELLHyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch?$12.61Jul 28, 14:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?$60.96Jul 28, 14:54 UTC
- MERGEWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$1.6KJul 28, 14:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?$41.82Jul 28, 13:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?$16.40Jul 28, 00:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?$16.40Jul 28, 00:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?$16.40Jul 28, 00:48 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 28, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 27, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 26, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 25, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$0.00Jul 24, 08:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bernie Sanders say "Greed" during the Fighting Oligarchy rally?$0.00Jul 24, 08:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $2B in 2026?$0.00Jul 24, 08:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-01-25?$0.00Jul 24, 08:23 UTC
- REDEEMTesla (TSLA) Up or Down on January 28?$0.00Jul 24, 08:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bernie Sanders say "Minneapolis" during the Fighting Oligarchy rally?$0.00Jul 24, 08:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google Gemini score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$0.00Jul 24, 08:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
16 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $13.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 18, 09:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.