Devoted-Route
0xf5e47caf8b2e23aa9230d70758bdb2c9747f471a
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$2.5K
Total PnL
$-4.1K
Realised
$3.8K
Win rate
100%
80 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
3298 shares @ 19.8¢·now 16.5¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$544.24
$-110.28
- YES
Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?
402 shares @ 34.4¢·now 55.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$221.18
$82.85
- YES
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?
686 shares @ 21.8¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$195.44
$46.05
- NO
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
423 shares @ 33.3¢·now 43.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$183.92
$42.94
- YES
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
1220 shares @ 21.7¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$176.91
$-88.02
- YES
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?
813 shares @ 22.9¢·now 18.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$146.33
$-39.64
- YES
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
201 shares @ 11.7¢·now 61.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$123.69
$100.18
- YES
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?
776 shares @ 26.9¢·now 15.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$116.33
$-92.52
- YES
X banned in any European country by December 31?
267 shares @ 19.8¢·now 42.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$113.30
$60.40
- YES
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?
298 shares @ 16.2¢·now 36.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$107.41
$59.12
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by August 31?$4.31Jun 11, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by August 31?$5.25Jun 11, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?$9.00Jun 11, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by August 31?$2.13Jun 11, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?$39.15Jun 11, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?$22.53Jun 11, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?$1.00Jun 11, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?$1.51Jun 11, 08:35 UTC
- REWARD$1.69Jun 11, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?$5.08Jun 10, 23:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?$78.98Jun 10, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?$7.12Jun 10, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?$0.53Jun 10, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?$24.99Jun 10, 01:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Malaysian House of Representatives be dissolved by December 31, 2026?$13.91Jun 9, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?$49.92Jun 9, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?$22.05Jun 9, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?$21.78Jun 9, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?$23.58Jun 9, 10:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mario Almici win the 2026 Legnano mayoral election?$32.43Jun 9, 10:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $22.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 8, 02:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 11:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 80 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.