Delightful-Pilgrim
0xf6950936ef440ba3b37bd40ce8b323b450800a19
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$1.4K
Total PnL
$-25.89
Realised
$-1.45
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
646 shares @ 92.8¢·now 92.7¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$598.83
$-1.18
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
306 shares @ 98.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$299.96
$-0.05
- NO
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?
103 shares @ 96.9¢·now 94.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$97.37
$-2.63
- NO
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
105 shares @ 94.8¢·now 91.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$96.78
$-3.22
- NO
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
104 shares @ 95.9¢·now 92.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$96.51
$-3.49
- NO
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
114 shares @ 88.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$93.75
$-6.25
- YES
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
37 shares @ 67.1¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$18.44
$-6.56
- NO
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30?
10 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$10.03
$0.03
- NO
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10 shares @ 98.3¢·now 98.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$10.01
$0.01
- NO
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
20 shares @ 50.8¢·now 50.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$9.99
$-0.01
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.03Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30?$10.00Jun 13, 10:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$10.26Jun 13, 10:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Petr Yan fight Umar Nurmagomedov next?$10.16Jun 13, 10:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?$10.14Jun 13, 10:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $175 in June?$10.06Jun 13, 10:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?$10.03Jun 13, 10:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.01Jun 13, 10:11 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? $9.97Jun 13, 10:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?$10.46Jun 13, 10:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 13, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?$10.15Jun 12, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?$5.01Jun 12, 09:39 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 12, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$10.00Jun 11, 12:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 11, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.01Jun 10, 09:36 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 10, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $175 in June?$10.00Jun 9, 13:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$14.05Jun 9, 13:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $13.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 31, 21:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.