0xf6ccfdc0bbf788f0391a678b6f62e58bd01c9ab1
0xf6ccfdc0bbf788f0391a678b6f62e58bd01c9ab1
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
51
Open notional
$357.56
Total PnL
$-22.16
Realised
$-2.72
Win rate
17%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 51- YES
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
42 shares @ 12.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$41.66
$36.66
- NO
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
24 shares @ 42.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$23.81
$13.81
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 50°F or higher on March 17?
20 shares @ 49.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$19.99
$10.20
- YES
Will Sweden qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
18 shares @ 28.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$18.00
$12.96
- NO
Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?
17 shares @ 87.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$17.10
$2.11
- NO
Will Poland qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
16 shares @ 62.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$16.13
$6.13
- YES
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?
15 shares @ 33.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$15.15
$10.15
- NO
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?
29 shares @ 34.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$14.56
$4.56
- NO
Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
13 shares @ 42.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$12.88
$7.47
- NO
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?
13 shares @ 39.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$12.82
$7.82
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 22, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 20, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 3, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
35/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
17% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 3, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.