Dense-Daughter
0xf6d0e1a6e1502a8958e60567324f425f34925fef
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$16.66
Total PnL
$-11.30
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Canada recession before 2027?
9 shares @ 34.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.62
$5.62
- YES
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.85
$0.85
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
9 shares @ 10.8¢·now 19.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.82
$0.82
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET
2 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$1.54
$0.54
- YES
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
15 shares @ 6.5¢·now 6.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
3 shares @ 39.4¢·now 37.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.95
$-0.05
- YES
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 40.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.36
$-0.64
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 23?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?
14 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.04May 5, 03:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET$2.04May 5, 03:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET$1.03May 5, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET$1.04May 5, 03:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$2.13May 5, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$1.04Apr 28, 15:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$0.00Apr 28, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$1.03Apr 28, 15:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET$2.82Mar 17, 12:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Mar 17, 03:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET$1.00Mar 17, 03:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$1.00Mar 17, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.00Mar 17, 03:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?$1.00Mar 17, 03:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanada recession before 2027?$1.00Mar 17, 03:53 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?$0.53Mar 13, 19:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk buy Ryanair?$0.40Mar 13, 19:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET$1.57Mar 13, 19:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?$1.64Mar 13, 19:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 4?$3.03Mar 13, 19:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $1.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 9, 17:05 UTC
- Last active
- May 5, 03:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.