Kindhearted-Instant
0xf75991542e0adca9237608ba56f04c74668d0221
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
54
Open notional
$337.52
Total PnL
$-321.84
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 54- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
305 shares @ 93.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$272.98
$-10.68
- YES
Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the July Meeting?
29 shares @ 44.0¢·now 87.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$25.23
$12.47
- YES
Will Oura's market cap be between $17.5B and $20B at market close on IPO day?
30 shares @ 24.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$7.05
$-0.15
- YES
Will Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day?
30 shares @ 13.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$5.25
$1.35
- YES
Will Oura's market cap be between $7.5B and $10B at market close on IPO day?
30 shares @ 10.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.05
$1.05
- YES
Will Oura's market cap be between $15B and $17.5B at market close on IPO day?
30 shares @ 8.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.75
$1.35
- YES
Will Oura's market cap be between $10B and $12.5B at market close on IPO day?
30 shares @ 15.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.75
$-0.75
- YES
Will Oura's market cap be less than $7.5B at market close on IPO day?
30 shares @ 9.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.45
$0.75
- YES
Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the July Meeting?
23 shares @ 50.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$2.92
$-8.77
- YES
Will Oura's market cap be between $12.5B and $15B at market close on IPO day?
30 shares @ 8.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.55
$0.15
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Silver (SI) settle at $50-$60 in June?$45.00Jul 1, 08:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in June?$40.00Jun 26, 17:43 UTC
- REDEEMUS-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?$25.00Jun 15, 02:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?$42.00Jun 9, 17:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?$50.00Jun 2, 20:35 UTC
- REDEEMBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?$38.00Jun 2, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Safepoint's market cap be between $1.1B and $1.3B at market close on IPO day?$57.97Jun 2, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Safepoint's market cap be between $1.5B and $1.7B at market close on IPO day?$11.40Jun 2, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day?$4.04Jun 2, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oura's market cap be between $15B and $17.5B at market close on IPO day?$2.49Jun 2, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oura's market cap be between $10B and $12.5B at market close on IPO day?$4.65Jun 2, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oura's market cap be between $7.5B and $10B at market close on IPO day?$3.11Jun 2, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oura's market cap be between $12.5B and $15B at market close on IPO day?$2.49Jun 2, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oura's market cap be between $17.5B and $20B at market close on IPO day?$7.42Jun 2, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oura's market cap be less than $7.5B at market close on IPO day?$2.80Jun 2, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) settle at $60-$70 in June?$10.16Jun 2, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) settle at $70-$80 in June?$15.38Jun 2, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) settle at $80-$90 in June?$10.21Jun 2, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) settle at $50-$60 in June?$1.96Jun 2, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) settle at $90-$100 in June?$3.73Jun 2, 01:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $6.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 24, 17:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 1, 08:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.