Crushing-Necessity
0xf76b2c185e55e94d3fa066679c6ef5746508b446
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$172.85
Total PnL
$-3.01
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?
55 shares @ 90.5¢·now 96.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$53.37
$3.37
- NO
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $156 in May?
63 shares @ 79.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$45.89
$-4.11
- YES
Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
53 shares @ 62.1¢·now 59.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$31.67
$-1.38
- NO
Will Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
32 shares @ 92.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$30.13
$0.32
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
5 shares @ 96.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.97
$-0.03
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
5 shares @ 60.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.82
$-0.18
- YES
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
3 shares @ 73.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$2.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?
1 shares @ 69.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$1.25
$0.25
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?
24 shares @ 4.2¢·now 2.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.68
$-0.32
- YES
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
3 shares @ 34.0¢·now 1.6¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.05
$-0.95
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$11.41May 18, 10:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 1.75T and 2.00T?$8.49May 18, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 1.75T and 2.00T?$8.84May 18, 09:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$9.76May 18, 09:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump announce a US-China Board of Trade?$1.61May 18, 04:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$18.47May 17, 17:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.00May 17, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$13.29May 17, 14:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?$2.56May 17, 09:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?$4.72May 17, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$10.00May 17, 07:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?$9.78May 16, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?$1.00May 16, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $156 in May?$50.42May 16, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?$5.09May 16, 08:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during Bret Baier interview?$12.50May 16, 08:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$20.97May 15, 16:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?$2.75May 15, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?$2.80May 15, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?$1.02May 15, 15:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $10.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 08:42 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 10:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".