Tempting-Sparerib
0xf7fe03ce4a4220b51e97756e0db8e6a252f8e61e
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
21
Open notional
$192.67
Total PnL
$-2.3K
Realised
$-499.03
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
1168 shares @ 25.7¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$192.67
$-107.32
- NO
Will the US strike Somalia next?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?
3479 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-170.00
- YES
Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31?
2651 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-125.96
- YES
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by March 31?
2028 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-96.00
- NO
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
1717 shares @ 22.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-380.00
- YES
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by March 31, 2026?
1251 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 16?
1000 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase March 3-9?
928 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
917 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-110.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-04-26?$25.00Apr 26, 16:08 UTC
- TRADESELLMojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by April 30, 2026?$8.10Apr 26, 16:07 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by April 30?$16.36Apr 26, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?$280.00Apr 14, 12:12 UTC
- TRADESELLPutin out as President of Russia by June 30?$80.61Apr 14, 12:11 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$200.00Apr 14, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by March 31?$96.00Mar 27, 18:18 UTC
- TRADESELLUS escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?$34.51Mar 27, 18:15 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by March 31?$24.00Mar 27, 18:15 UTC
- TRADESELLMilitary action against Iran ends on March 31, 2026?$37.50Mar 27, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by June 30?$116.00Mar 25, 12:58 UTC
- TRADESELLKurds declare independence from Iran?$77.49Mar 25, 12:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US accuse Iran of Oslo Embassy attack?$7.10Mar 25, 12:57 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by March 31?$9.76Mar 25, 12:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by March 31?$12.85Mar 25, 12:57 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 24, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran ends on March 31, 2026?$160.00Mar 23, 18:42 UTC
- TRADESELLPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$168.92Mar 23, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$183.00Mar 23, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYMojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by April 30, 2026?$200.00Mar 20, 21:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $130.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 1, 16:30 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 26, 16:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.