Immaterial-Advantage
0xf85fa31a58fcce6c00b5af806a598b1600329800
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$22.3K
Total PnL
$-22.8K
Realised
$-45.55
Win rate
38%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
6535 shares @ 91.8¢·now 92.7¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$6.1K
$54.66
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
3968 shares @ 63.0¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$3.9K
$1.4K
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
3385 shares @ 70.1¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.9K
$486.29
- YES
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
1703 shares @ 11.3¢·now 73.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.2K
$1.1K
- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
1062 shares @ 14.3¢·now 76.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$816.27
$664.55
- YES
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?
778 shares @ 45.0¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$766.50
$416.50
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
5047 shares @ 7.8¢·now 14.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$736.93
$343.23
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
750 shares @ 83.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$678.75
$56.01
- NO
Netanyahu out by June 30?
664 shares @ 95.0¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$655.82
$25.22
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
1422 shares @ 64.9¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$447.97
$-475.52
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$329.20Jun 14, 02:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.20Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?$7.66Jun 13, 23:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?$3.57Jun 13, 21:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?$11.00Jun 13, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYTaylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?$3.78Jun 13, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYTaylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?$3.78Jun 13, 18:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jason Reynolds be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Virginia?$5.01Jun 13, 03:18 UTC
- REDEEMNamed storm forms before hurricane season?$10.12Jun 13, 03:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?$59.70Jun 13, 03:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.20Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$11.25Jun 12, 19:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?$38.32Jun 12, 19:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?$5.64Jun 12, 18:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?$300.06Jun 12, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$23.44Jun 12, 17:30 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$724.64Jun 12, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$504.65Jun 12, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.06Jun 12, 10:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.07Jun 12, 09:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $90.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 8, 23:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 02:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.