Nutty-Knifeedge
0xf8c4486119322705e8188674066bc67814626f33
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$135.57
Total PnL
$-0.31
Realised
$0.61
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
59 shares @ 95.7¢·now 95.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$56.49
$0.03
- NO
Will Juan Soto win the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award?
51 shares @ 94.3¢·now 94.3¢·exp Nov 13, 2026$47.65
$0.03
- NO
Will San Diego FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?
33 shares @ 95.9¢·now 95.9¢·exp Dec 19, 2026$31.43
$-0.02
- NO
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-0.96
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$56.46May 18, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Juan Soto win the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award?$18.86May 18, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Juan Soto win the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award?$11.79May 18, 00:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Juan Soto win the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award?$16.97May 15, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$0.96May 15, 08:56 UTC
- TRADESELLConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$57.59May 15, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$56.99May 15, 08:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill San Diego FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?$1.44May 10, 08:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill San Diego FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?$10.28May 9, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill San Diego FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?$43.16May 5, 18:14 UTC
- REDEEMReds vs. Pirates$0.00Mar 18, 07:38 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down on August 5?$0.00Mar 18, 07:38 UTC
- REDEEMTigers vs. Rangers$0.00Mar 18, 07:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sentimental Value win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$21.28Mar 17, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sentimental Value win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$21.11Mar 6, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYReds vs. Pirates$52.26Aug 7, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYReds vs. Pirates$415.74Aug 7, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down on August 5?$525.00Aug 4, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down on August 5?$200.00Aug 4, 10:30 UTC
- REDEEMDiamondbacks vs. Athletics$1.3KAug 4, 06:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $339.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 07:58 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 08:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".