Unlucky-Demur
0xf8d1c5774958547717bdac77b8144017b79f51c7
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$810.43
Total PnL
$-596.89
Realised
$-0.58
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2001 shares @ 9.5¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$211.14
$21.14
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
588 shares @ 17.0¢·now 16.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$98.53
$-1.47
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1981 shares @ 4.0¢·now 5.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$98.07
$18.82
- YES
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?
400 shares @ 63.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$94.00
$-158.00
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
585 shares @ 17.1¢·now 16.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$93.86
$-6.14
- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6250 shares @ 1.6¢·now 1.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$90.63
$-9.38
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
1200 shares @ 8.3¢·now 6.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$76.20
$-23.40
- YES
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?
300 shares @ 32.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$48.00
$-48.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?
1222 shares @ 16.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-205.89
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?
196 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-94.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.06Jun 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 10, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 9, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 8, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 6, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 5, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$92.44Jun 4, 10:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$96.94Jun 4, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$81.53Jun 4, 10:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$73.33Jun 4, 10:43 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 4, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 3, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 2, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$82.19Jun 1, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$102.95Jun 1, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$102.72Jun 1, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$102.49Jun 1, 06:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $104.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 4, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.