Quick-Cardboard
0xf92a950992181e21874dd1b36c7e5666c443a517
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$126.8K
Total PnL
$-10.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
21708 shares @ 95.8¢·now 97.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$21.2K
$441.36
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
18500 shares @ 94.3¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$18.3K
$850.78
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
11946 shares @ 77.6¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.7K
$1.4K
- NO
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
10247 shares @ 97.4¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$10.1K
$160.29
- YES
Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?
9511 shares @ 93.5¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$9.5K
$596.75
- NO
Starmer out by June 15, 2026?
9400 shares @ 96.9¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$9.4K
$272.16
- YES
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
9878 shares @ 83.1¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$7.1K
$-1.1K
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
5384 shares @ 97.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.4K
$142.92
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?
4962 shares @ 97.6¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.9K
$65.73
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
4373 shares @ 93.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.1K
$65.59
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?$1.0KJun 12, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$74.36Jun 12, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$378.75Jun 12, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$68.79Jun 12, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?$1.3KJun 12, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$27.90Jun 12, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$4.0KJun 12, 05:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?$628.72Jun 12, 05:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$405.97Jun 12, 05:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?$127.10Jun 12, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?$2.9KJun 11, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?$123.72Jun 11, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$296.81Jun 11, 17:52 UTC
- TRADESELLFirst round outright winner in the LA Mayoral Election?$1.2KJun 9, 00:28 UTC
- TRADESELLFirst round outright winner in the LA Mayoral Election?$2.6KJun 9, 00:28 UTC
- TRADESELLFirst round outright winner in the LA Mayoral Election?$8.24Jun 8, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$2.1KJun 8, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$4.9KJun 8, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYKurds declare independence from Iran?$2.0KJun 8, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$256.84Jun 8, 06:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $678.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 6, 13:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 18:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.