0xf977ac27c17e497b4cad1a5060060c7f28c5666d
0xf977ac27c17e497b4cad1a5060060c7f28c5666d
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$68.52
Total PnL
$-20.48
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
17 shares @ 80.5¢·now 78.6¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$13.67
$-0.33
- YES
Will Ed Miliband be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?
6 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.75
$0.75
- NO
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24?
5 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$5.21
$0.21
- AGUIRRE
La Velada del Año 6 Edu Aguirre vs Gastón Edul
5 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.21
$0.21
- NO
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?
5 shares @ 98.9¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$5.03
$0.03
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
7 shares @ 67.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$4.96
$-0.04
- NO
Will California experience a 7.0 or above magnitude earthquake in 2026?
5 shares @ 98.0¢·now 94.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.81
$-0.19
- SENTINELS
Valorant: Sentinels vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega
4 shares @ 57.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$3.51
$1.51
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?
3 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$2.70
$0.70
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
9 shares @ 22.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.14
$0.14
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 26?$1.02Jul 25, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?$1.04Jul 25, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$1.01Jul 25, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?$1.00Jul 25, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in July?$1.00Jul 25, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: Sentinels vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega$1.02Jul 25, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: G2 Esports vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega$1.00Jul 25, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: Sentinels vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega$1.02Jul 25, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$1.03Jul 25, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on July 26?$1.07Jul 25, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYEstoril Open: Alexander Blockx vs Luciano Darderi$1.03Jul 25, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.02Jul 25, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$1.01Jul 25, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYLa Velada del Año 6 Edu Aguirre vs Gastón Edul$5.01Jul 25, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?$5.07Jul 25, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?$5.00Jul 25, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?$2.00Jul 25, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill California experience a 7.0 or above magnitude earthquake in 2026?$5.00Jul 24, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$5.06Jul 23, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24?$5.00Jul 23, 19:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $2.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 11, 22:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 25, 21:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.