Assured-Stair
0xf9d1c8c2983e3817797758ab51747934c00f73ed
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
84
Open notional
$5.6K
Total PnL
$-129.91
Realised
$14.55
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 84- YES
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
395 shares @ 76.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$301.97
$1.97
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
244 shares @ 82.0¢·now 98.4¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$239.88
$39.88
- YES
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
220 shares @ 91.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$198.98
$-1.02
- YES
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?
258 shares @ 77.5¢·now 75.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$194.85
$-5.15
- YES
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
251 shares @ 39.9¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$176.91
$76.91
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1351 shares @ 7.4¢·now 11.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$157.43
$57.43
- NO
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
226 shares @ 88.6¢·now 68.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$153.95
$-46.05
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2857 shares @ 3.5¢·now 5.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$141.43
$41.43
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
153 shares @ 65.5¢·now 90.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$137.57
$37.57
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?
125 shares @ 80.0¢·now 91.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$113.75
$13.75
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.08Jun 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jun 13, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by June 15?$175.44Jun 12, 00:31 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by June 30?$161.29Jun 12, 00:31 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jun 12, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$32.18Jun 11, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?$1.03Jun 11, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-06-16?$100.99Jun 11, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-06-15?$100.27Jun 11, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?$101.53Jun 11, 21:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?$103.01Jun 11, 19:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Oracle (ORCL) beat quarterly earnings?$108.70Jun 11, 19:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Chewy (CHWY) beat quarterly earnings?$125.03Jun 11, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$28.11Jun 11, 19:56 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jun 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jun 10, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chewy (CHWY) beat quarterly earnings?$101.00Jun 9, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oracle (ORCL) beat quarterly earnings?$100.40Jun 9, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dave & Buster's (PLAY) beat quarterly earnings?$100.33Jun 9, 10:02 UTC
- TRADESELLHSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Leylah Fernandez$97.75Jun 9, 09:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $90.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 1, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.